From what I've read, your analysis of the upper Potomac is pretty common right now. Between floods and poor water quality, the smallie numbers are down seems to be the consensus. I personally find wading the Potomac frustrating because it is hard to find places that are safe and it's hard to cover water on foot. I feel like I spend more time trying to make sure I don't put myself in danger I hardly do any actually fishing.
Have you floated any of the Potomac tribs? I'm not sure you'd catch 25 fish in 4 miles on the tribs (I've never fished that much water at once on the tribs) but it'd be worth trying.
It sounds like the South Fork of the Shenandoah is fishing really good too and that's about 90 minutes away depending where you hit it.
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